Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Can a video make Tom Boonen look any gayer? Not that there is anything wrong with that.


Actually, this video might.


Correction: This video does.

What is going on in this commercial. It appears to be an ad for Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne. Tom rubs his scruffy chin in a ponderous manner but what is crossing his mind. The most obvious thoughts would be...
  • Why is that guy taking pictures of me?
  • Should I wear the helmet or not?
  • If I had some Quick-Step tattoos on my back, chest and legs this would be the ultimate skinsuit
  • Do I feel a draft?


You gotta love the music selection for this video mocking Boonen's choice in women.

No Tuesday Nite Worlds for me tonight. I was simply too tired to race. If I had gone, I would have done nothing but sit on the back of the pack and only tired myself out even more. Instead, I got a little rest and feel a little better right now but could use a really good night's sleep.

I beg every cyclist to not do this in public.


Monday, April 28, 2008

I was about as valuable as a 50 cent bag of chips this weekend.  As the sun rose Saturday morning I was setting up barricades and hay bales for the day's races.  After watching the first race I headed home for a little rest before gathering up a few more items and driving back to the race.  This weekend's 60 minute races were longer than the typical Cat 3 races so I was not too concerned about showing up to the line a little late and not getting a great starting spot.  I was patient and gradually moved up at times and felt pretty good going up the hill.  Then, about halfway through the race, there was a little pile up on the final little sweeping bend before the line.  Much like the Tilles Park race, I got tangled up, rolled onto a downed riders wheel and had to unclip from the pedals but never hit the pavement.  That was the good news.  The bad news is that I was "arriere de la course' when they put us back into the race, and frankly, I am just not that great and working my way through a pack.  I did okay though and still felt I had a chance to execute my planned late race effort.  But, as we approached two laps to go, there was another big use of brakes that put me right at the back of the pack again.  Game over for any meaningful contribution.

Saturday evening was the new time trial course at the confluence of the Mississippi and Missouri.  Conditions were a little cool but pleasant.  The only glitch was that the start times were about 20 minutes behind schedule.  Nothing wrong with a little extra time to warm up or get accustomed to the bike, though.  After the crit, I slapped on some new aerobars on the road bike and my warmup served as my 'learn to ride aerobars again' lesson.  The different position definitely took some getting used to after not having done a TT in several years.  The clock ticked past 7pm and it was time to get in line for my start.  The rider that was scheduled to start before me did not show up.  Instead Andrew Chocha moved up eight minutes into the vacant slot ahead of me.  The guy is one of the faster time trialists in the state was not the kind of rider I would have liked starting in front of me.  Like most people, I guess, I would prefer having someone that serves as a carrot.  A person that you may not catch but the mere sight of them ahead drives you to dig a little deeper.  This was not the case with Chocha in front of me.  He was off and out of sight, leaving me with nothing to stare at but black, winding pavement. 
 
All things considered, I did okay.  Judging how hard to go in a time trial is always a little dicey, especially without any kind of power meter, HRM or even a computer to give feedback on how fast you are going.  On that front, I think my effort was dosed pretty well.  The course was very nice for a time trial with smooth pavement and little traffic.  As nice as the course was, I wish I had done a reconnaissance ride in the weeks leading up to the race.  The turns were all sweeping and gentle but there was that little hesitation in the back of my mind about what lay ahead.  The only time that came into play, however, was at the turnaround point.  There were a number of cones across the road and two people there, one with a waving flag, indicating that this was the turnaround.  But, my oxygen deprived brain cells were not comprehending the situation very well.  The way the flag was being waved it appeared that we were supposed to go through cones and loop around.  That makes no sense, and made no sense at the time either, but it truly seemed that way and I was following through with the . 

I have read that the proper way to handle a TT turnaround is to brake as late as possible, and then sprint out of the turn.  Thanks to my confusion, I stumbled into this strategy by accident.  My brain synapses began firing properly at the last moment and I squeezed the brakes hard with a little rear wheel fishtailing for extra effect, then turning left around the small circle and out of the saddle to get back up to speed.  My heartrate didn't need to beat any faster but that escapade tacked on a few extra thump-thumps, I am sure. 
 
The turnaround provided me with an idea about how I was doing.  The guy behind seemed to be a little closer than a minute and not far behind him was a guy from Mizzou that seemed to be going really well.  Sure enough, the Mizzou guy caught me on the return trip.  Not sure who guy was but he must have had a pretty good time.  Probably a little over 19 minutes.  I finished in 21:54, I think.  Not great, but not bad for first time effort.  With better wheels and some practice, the times should get better.

Sunday's race in Forest Park... happened.  That is about it.  My legs felt sluggish before the race and they never did get much better as I spent most of the race at the very back of the pack.  I made some efforts to move up on the backstretch but would slide backward again.  That was my whole day.  Move up a little then move back and repeat the process.  The only positive is that I finished and last year I lost contact with two laps to go.  That's not much consolation and I have been kind of grumpy about how I rode this weekend, mentally beating myself up working up a little anger.  My chance for a little redemption is next Sunday in Washington.  I sucked at the circuit race last year and can only hope that the new crit course treats me better.


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Friday, April 25, 2008

Tomorrow is the start of the Tour of St Louis.  For the first time in a few years I will be taking part in the time trial.  This course should be much better than the insane course of the past few years.  Yesterday, after work, I bought a TT helmet.  Now, if only I put a little effort into having my bike built up for the time trial.  I suppose I just will throw some basic aerobars on after the morning crit and crush the field with standard wheels and shift cables flying everywhere.  Who needs to practice or know what the course is like to do well?  Apparently, I think I do not need to do those things.

Yesterday, I started gathering info for my Liege picks.  This race is much like Amstel in the number of repeat finishers.  Only 28 riders have finished top 10 in the past five years.  That is the same number as Amstel and the lowest number among the Spring Classics. 

- Michael Boogerd had a five year streak going, but his retirement has put and end to that. 
- The other top guys have been Basso, Bettini, Cunego and Di Luca in the top 10 three times. 
- Beyond that there have been a lot of 'two-timers'.
- Of the twenty-nine riders who have been top 10, six are not active riders but not participating.
- Seven of the twenty-nine are retired.
- Sadly, eight of the twenty-nine have been busted for doping and serving suspensions.
- Only seven active riders have recently finished in the top 10 and participating in the race.

Those numbers would indicate that this is a wide open race in terms of possible picks.  I have successfully been riding the Thomas Dekker train the last few races but, in the interest of mixing things up, I will refrain from choosing him again.  These are subject to change but for now my picks are...

Third pick:  John Gadret
Second pick:  Franco Pellizotti
First pick:  Fabian Wegmann


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Wednesday, April 23, 2008

This weekend was partially wasted in terms of riding. I did get out with the guys on Saturday morning. Naturally, that was the portion of the weekend that was dark and damp. Actually, it wasn't so bad. Just a little drizzle at the very start and very end of the ride. Good aggressive riding. I rode pretty well and shut down attacks with aplomb. I had moved my saddle forward a little on Wednesday because I felt sluggish. I could wind up a gear but had very little 'jump'. The moved seemed to work.

The next 37 hours were spent either at work or monitoring, from home, what was going on at work. It was so frustrating not being outside on such a spectacular Sunday.

Last night's race was good. I felt comfortable all night and moved up in the field when I wanted. For the most part, I didn't do much except for trying to chase down a four man break. That didn't quite work out but it was worth the effort.

After the race Ryan wanted to know who I was going to pick for Fleche Wallonne. Like the post before this, I mentioned Cunego and Dekker and said I wasn't sure about the third guy. One person I mentioned was Gesink, but Ryan poo-pooed that idea asked if Andy Schleck was racing. He was and I let him plant that oh-so-wrong thought in my head.

The Cunego pick worked out. He was the top placed rider that I was allowed to pick. That's a victory of sorts.

Thomas Dekker finished fifth. Good pick.

Andy Schleck finished..... waaaayyyyyyy down. Nice pick Ryan! In all fairness, Schleck put himself in the early, long breakaway so he actually rode well. Once he got caught, he must have just rolled in to the finish.

I will not mention that Robert Gesink finished fourth which means I could have picked the top 3 riders that hadn't finished top 10 before. If I were to mention that fact, it might embarrass Ryan and I wouldn't want to do that. :)
I'm logging on early this morning before Fleche Wallone starts to make my picks. Not much time for analysis but I will say this scanning some of the recent results shows some top 10's from people I have never heard of before. If there is a big race that you could make some off the wall picks and still get lucky, this might be it. I will not be doing that, however.

Lets go with the more established names.
Third pick: Andy Schleck
Second pick: Thomas Dekker
First pick: Damiano Cunego

Nothing fancy there. Good results last Sunday so they can't do too badly today... can they?

Monday, April 21, 2008

The warmer temperatures of the last week or so have reminded me how annoying the squishety-slap, squishety-slap, squishety-slap of women's slightly moist feet against sandals can be.  How can they walk around all day, listening to that rhythmic torture?

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Thursday, April 17, 2008

My picks for Amstel Gold
 
Third pick:  Kim Kirchen
Second pick:  Fabian Wegmann
First pick:  Thomas Dekker - He's young, talented, Dutch and racing in his home race.
 
I wonder if Slipstream's Maaskant can have yet another strong race?


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Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Tommeke!!! Don't celebrate until you cross the line. Doh!


Photo ©: Roberto Bettini
Amstel Gold is this weekend so I have been looking at start lists for the race and figuring who I can and cannot choose for my picks.  This race is staggering in its repetition of top finishers. 

- A mere 28 riders have filled the 50 top ten places in the past 5 years.  Compare that with 37 different riders in Roubaix and 33 in Flanders.
- As an example of the repetitive nature of the placings, Boogerd was in the top 5 in each of the past five years.  The same for Rebellin.  DiLuca four times.  Kessler and Bettini three times.
- Freire is among a number of riders who reached the top 10 twice.  The other three years he was top 20.
- While only 28 riders have finished top 10 in the past five years.  An even more surprising stat is that only 11 of those 28 will be racing Amstel this weekend.
- Eight of the twenty-eight have retired while three of the twenty-eight have been caught doping
- Among the other top finishers, DiLuca's (4 top 10s) team LPR was not selected to race and Bettini (3 top 10s) is out with a broken rib.
- With many of the top guys like Boogerd, DiLuca, Bettini, Kessler out of the race for various reasons Rebellin (5 in a row) is the only guy left with more than two top 10s
- Who are the new guys that are starting to become regular top finishers?  Appropriately enough, the last two winners (Stefan Schumacher and Frank Schleck) have a two top 10s in a row.  Will Andy Schleck follow his brother in his first year at Amstel?


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Tuesday, April 15, 2008

A very average Tues Nite race, this evening. The race started more slowly tonight and I was not complaining. As it was, my chest felt cold to start and made my breathing a little labored. I sat on the back and hoped to start feeling better. Fifteen minutes went by before I felt capable of moving up to mid-pack. Thirty minutes in I went up the hill good and passed most of the pack. At the top, I just kept on going and went to the front to try and lift the pace. Since I threaten no one, the pack let me roll right off the front solo. Thanks a lot. They came back to me by the time the hill came back around. I kept good position to the top of the hill but felt a little gassed and drifted all the way back again. From then on, the race was just sitting in as best I could and waiting for the last lap which was very routine.

Speaking of routine, one of my routines after A Tues Nite race is to listen to the Cardinals on the drive home. A few times a year, Mike Shannon graces the listening audience with his unique observations. As anyone who listens to the Cardinals broadcasts knows, Mike is not as linguistically gifted as Vin Scully, for instance. Tonight Mike tried to paint an image in the listeners mind about the scene at the ballpark. When Mike paints a verbal image it more closely resembles the crayon scribblings typically found on a refrigerator than it does a Rembrandt. Consider tonight's comments.

Mike mentioned how there was a sea of red in the stands, with the Gateway Arch in the background and the Old Capital with its flag extended in the blowing wind. When I first made his comments they went in one ear and out the other. Then he added that added that "quite a signifcant Old Capital it is" Old Capital??? In downtown St Louis??? Uhhh, Mike that building is the Old Courthouse.

Monday, April 14, 2008

Saturday's Tilles race turned out fairly well. The upper 30 degree temperatures and strong winds made for some chilly racing but nothing awful. Thankfully, the rain stayed away. Steadily drying, but still damp, roads from earlier light rain was all the moisture we saw in the Master's race.

This was my first Master's race in a couple years. Mesa was typically stacked with Russ, Tracy and Ethan while most of the local teams had representation. In addition to me, we had Chris, Evan and Mike.

The 30 minute +6 race started steadily, unlike the way Tuesday Nites have been starting. After settling in, there were a number of repeated attacks. Some were more effective than others, but no one was getting too much breathing room. O'Neal and his pink stickered Zipps had been aggressive most of the race and eventually opened a gap with Ethan and Mark from SLCC that the pack was slow to counter about 25 minutes into the race. Andy from Gateway and Marijn eventually took the initiative to chase. Our team was not represented so I jumped and joined the move.

Mark dropped off from the lead group and joined our chase. The four of us worked well but were unable to shut down the lead duo. I finally looked back with three laps to go and had to do a double-take. Where was the pack? Most of the teams were represented in one of the two breaks so they must have shut down the race completely. Andy began sitting on with two laps to go. I was willing to sacrifice a place or two to try and make sure the pack didn't come back to us. No cat and mouse games for me. The three of us continued to rotate and I led into the headwind. As we went through the penultimate turn Andy and Marijn attacked. I rose out of the saddle but didn't have nearly enough in the legs to match the acceleration and settled for trying to stay ahead of Mark. My ears were pealed for any noise from behind but heard no whoosh of wheels. I looked back with about 50m to go and safely snagged 5th place.

My strategy for the 3/4 race was to sit in the middle of the pack for the first part of the race and gauge how my legs felt after the first race. Everything went to plan. The race was moving at a good pace but did not feel terribly hard and I was well placed in the upper half, moving up when I wanted.

Approximately one-third of the race had passed when there was a bumping of shoulders just ahead of me. James Nelson went down with one or two others as I touched the brakes and headed toward the grass. I just about stopped before hitting a guy with the front wheel and tipped over. The incident was minor and extending my hand to catch myself was enough prevent me from hitting the turf.

That incident was minor but essentially marked the end of my race. Being put in at the pack of the pack made moving up difficult. The rear of the field was just that little bit more bottled up and congested. Places where I was able to move up before the crash were crowded enough that I didn't want to try and squeeze through.

Riding back there also put a good deal of squirrelly maneuvers into view that made me cautious of trying anything. In particular, DRJ rider 63(9?) was all over the place, dodging here and there with twitchy moves. At least five people from multiple teams commented on the guy both during and after the race. Getting near the guy was scary.

My plan to attack with 1.5 to go was scuttled by my inability to move up. The last lap was just a case of sitting on and rolling across the line safe and sound.
----------------------------

My Roubaix picks did okay. Hoste finished a solid 6th. Devolder's finished 7th and his attack at Mons-en-Pevele softened up the small lead group for Boonen to whittle the leaders down to just three. About all that can be said of my third pick, Ignatiev, is that he managed to finish way back in 109th. But, he finished. My curiosity pick, Duclos-Lasalle, also finished but in 97th place.
----------------------------

"Frenchman Pierrick Fédrigo (Bouygues Télécom) succeeded in winning the 40th edition of the Tour du Limousin on Friday one year after he missed out on the overall victory by just one second."

"Dutchman Erik Dekker (Rabobank) saw his chance and also got across the gap, forming a group of 13 in front."

Are you offended? Is righteous indignation welling up inside you? No? You are nothing but an insensitive oaf.

Have you heard the minor controversy that happened during the webcast of this weekends Masters golf tournament? Reporter Bobby Clampett called one of the golfers "a Chinaman". As a result of the quote, Clampett was not part of the webcast for the remainder of the tournament. Nevermind that the golfer, Liang-Wen Chong is from China.

Why can Pierrick Fedrigo be called a Frenchman or Erik Dekker be called a Dutchman but you cannot call Liang-Wen Chong a Chinaman? Just what term is supposed to used for a man from China? Chinian? The term Asian doesn't explain his nation of origin. Oriental is out of favor in these politically correct times and suffers from the same problems of ambiguity as Asian.

And, what exactly, is offensive about the term Chinaman? Seriously. There are several terms, which I won't list here, that a person from China might consider derogatory. As a person of Polish descent I can understand, but is calling a man from China a Chinaman truly offensive? Not in my opinion.

Saturday, April 12, 2008

I am switching my third pick for P-R, from Pavel Brutt to his teammate Michael Ignatiev

Friday, April 11, 2008

In the past couple years there seems to be an odd trend of cyclists in this area. If the weather forecasts call for precipitation, particularly in cool temperatures, one or two people ask whether a race will be cancelled because of weather. Take tomorrow's race for instance. The forecast is for low temperatures about 38 and a chance of light rain. And, maybe, some snow?

I understand not racing in accumulating snow or ice or electrical storms. We are just a bunch of minimally talented shlubs that do not need to foolishly race in dangerous conditions. But, come on people, freezing is 32 degrees. Do you really anticipate the snow, if it should even happen, to have any effect? Of course not.

Someone asked what the chances were that the race would be cancelled because of rain and wind chills in the 30s.
What is the root of these thoughts? I can think of a few possibilities.

1) The internets - Back in the old days there were no emails or message boards or any fancy-schmancy electronical thingamajigs that let people express there concerns. Instead you looked out the window on race day and thought to yourself "Do I want to race in this crap today or not?"

2) Last year, we had two races that were postponed and/or cancelled. There now seems to be a thought that cancellations are not uncommon. In fact, in the previous 13 years of racing, I can think of two races that had races cut short because of lightening. That is it. No cancellations for wet roads and chilly air.

3) Back in the day, race flyers used to state that the race would be held rain or shine. I'm not sure I see that information on flyers anymore. I would have to do some research. Out of curiosity, I looked at tomorrow's race flyer and that clause was not included.

Let's toughen it up guys. Throw on some embrocation or leg warmers, an extra jersey or two, a good facial grimace and just race. Stop worrying about whether your skirt will get dirty.
Tilles Park is shaping up to be an unpleasant day of racing tomorrow. Forty degrees, 50% chance of rain with a 14mph wind. Spectacular! Throw in some cobbles and we could be in Roubaix.

Speaking of Roubaix, it is time to make some picks. If you were a betting man, Boonen would be a safe bet. He looked the strongest in Flanders despite not winning and he has been top ten the last four years. Backstedt, Cancellara, Flecha, Hammond, Hincapie and Wesemann are all on the start list that have more than one top 10 in the last five years. But, I cannot pick any of them. My non-top 10 restriction may not limit me too much for this race. Until this morning, I was very pleased to find that Devolder was eligible for my picking system after his performance in Flanders. Then I discovered that both Vladimir Gusev and Leif Hoste have not been top 10 thanks to both being DQ'd because of the train crossing incident in '06 . That shocked me. And the good news is that they are the team leaders and will not be forced to work for anyone.

Top pick: Leif Hoste
2nd pick: Stijn Devolder
3rd pick: Vladimir Gusev. He is my third pick only because he has been coming back from an injury and then crashed in Flanders so he may not be on top form Thanks to Austin for reminding me that Gusev's Astana team is barred from ASO events. Before thinking that Gusev was available for selection, I had my eye on a guy that always seems willing to work hard. That attitude should suit him well in a tough, hard race. My new third pick is Pavel Brutt
Curiosity pick: Herve Duclos-Lasalle. Let's see if his Dad's two-time winning genes were passed on to Herve.

Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Gent-Wevelgem was a big bunch sprint so actual placings don't mean too much if you were not in the top places. My picks finished satisfactorily.

Curiosity pick: Borut Bozic finished a respectable 27th
Top pick: Mark Cavendish finished a decent 17th
2nd pick: Martin Elmiger finished 47th but was aggressive and tried attacking 18km from the finish. His five-man escape was caught 1800m from the line.
3rd pick: Tomas Vaitkus played a cruel trick on me and did not start

Speaking of not starting, I had no desire to start last night's US Army Tues Nite World Domination Crit after the spanking I received two weeks ago.
I really felt that my wishes were going to come true as storm clouds came rolling in around 3:30. But, when I looked at radar, a cruel hoax was being played on me. There was no rain in the immediate future. Nevertheless, I must have walked outside 10 times to look at the sky for signs of rain or to look at the pavement for signs of raindrops.

By 5pm I resigned myself to the fact that I had to race or admit to being a total slug. The dark clouds must have scared many folks away. There must have been no more than 25-30 people in the A race. Smaller fields often make for a tougher race and the strong southerly winds were not going to make things any easier.

On top of that, Justin showed up which meant the race was likely to start like a bat out of hell. And, it did start fast but I learned my lesson from the last race and made sure I was in the top 10 for most of the first lap. The crosswind sent the pack into the gutter on the home stretch and strung out the pack. This went on for about 3 or 4 laps before the inevitable split occurred as a decent sized group pulled away while a larger group with some pretty good riders was left behind. Our group was lapped by the leaders about halfway through the race and then was caught a second time with three(?) laps to go. Those guys were flying.

Despite the split in the pack, I did much better this week. I rode with some aggression and went off the front of our group about 5 times. The longest of the efforts was about three laps with Rory and a Mesa junior. My last effort ended as we approached three laps to go. I was a little too well done after that and was sent off the back. I did two more laps and pulled off to watch the pack finish.

As much as I didn't want to race, afterward I was glad to have gone.

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

The weekend just past was the best of the year.  Still a little chilly to start the days warmed nicely with bright and sunny skies.  A little extra bonus Saturday morning was a VERY thick fog bank at the Mississippi.  I tend to like fog, particularly when heading to a ride.  I'm not sure why.  It sets a mood.  A little mystery about what the day's ride will reveal. 
 
Anyway, this fog was intense and prevented much more than maybe 200ft of visibility.  The JB Bridge ironwork was invisible until you were virtually on the bridge.  The fog was concentrated right at the river though and once you were a half mile away everything was back to normal.  Perhaps in honor of Flanders the following day, we rode the Ronde van Monroe.  Minus a flat tire, the ride was satisfying with a few good efforts, particularly up the Kasteelberg and a chase of Ken on LL into Maeystown.  All in all, I rode fine but not spectacularly. 

Sunday meant Jeffco was on the agenda.  A little warmer (in the 40's) than Saturday so I kept the leg warmers at home and rode out to Ecole de Meramec.  As we rode through Parque de Vallee, I decided to make the day into a bit of a power workout and push the big ring up the hills.  As a result, I wasn't exactly flying up the hills but managed to scale the soaring peaks on the way to Haute Arrete well enough and zipped along Four Ridge without any problems.  That first half of the ride must have had an effect.  The remainder of the day, my legs were lifeless.  I could get up the hills but felt like I was plodding along and any thoughts of doing so in the big ring were long gone.  I became disheartened and realized that I need some serious work in the hills.  That is for future rides, though.  Instead, I sulked home, put some food in my stomach and relaxed until the Flanders coverage began.

Versus editing of the race was typically subpar but I am grateful for the coverage.  The race itself was very entertaining.  My Gilbert pick turned out okay with a 15th place.  Much better than my Gerald Ciolek pick for San Remo.  Gilbert was in with a shot I suppose but never seemed to be a big threat.  My throw away comment that Devolder would be a good pick also turned into a winner.  Even a blind dog finds a bone once in a while.  If Devolder hadn't been Boonen's teammate I would have given him a better chance but thought his efforts would ultimately get used up in support of his leader.

I wasn't going to make a pick for Gent-Wevelgem but what the hell.  As I suspected in my pre-Flanders posting, there is more variety among the top finishers at a race like Gent.  Only nine cyclists have managed more than one top ten in the past five years.  The surprise is that Roger Hammond leads the way with top tens in 2003, '04 and '07.  Making a pick for this one is a bit of a shot in the dark.  While scanning the tentative start list a few names still managed to catch my eye.  Here are several people I will be keeping an eye on.  The last of which will be my pick.  As noted in previous posts, my picks are limited to those that have not finished top 10 in the last five years, if ever.

My "curiosity" pick:  Borut Bozic.  From what I can see Borut has never raced Gent.  He's supposed to have a pretty decent kick and with a name like that he must be halfway decent on cobbles.
My 2nd runner up pick:  Tomas Vaitkus of Astana  He has a pretty good team and has a respectable sprint.
First runner up pick:  Martin Elmiger.  I dont think he has a real shot at winning but he has had solid performances the last two years.  He is probably a safer bet for a decent result than my actual pick.
My pick:  Mark Cavendish.  He has a good team backing him up and he is winning races this year.  My biggest concern about this pick is that his team may be too good and he could get lost in the shuffle.  Of the nine people I mentioned above as having multiple top tens in the last five years, three of the nine will be teammates of Cavendish.  Hincapie, Klier and Hammond have seven top 10's among them.  Throw in Servais Knaven and the total goes to eight.  Oh well, we will see how things shake out.


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Saturday, April 05, 2008

Maybe the Muur is more to your liking.


Care to tackle the Koppenberg?


I found this found this video trailer to be intriguing. There is no race action. No big excitement. Instead, the black and white film simply sets the mood as the course for the Ronde is prepared and fans began to gather in anticipation of the race. It piques my curiosity about the remainder of the film.

Video

Friday, April 04, 2008

Flanders smack:
Hoste continued to stress that some riders would be de-motivated right from the start. When asked if he meant Italian glamour boy 'Pippo' Pozzato, Hoste smiled and said, "Pozzato? He will be wondering whether to get his shoes dirty or not.
--------
Ouch!!!
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"Maybe we'll finally have a real 'Ronde' as the last few years the weather wasn't too bad and it turned out that it wasn't always the race the people wanted to see. "Everybody, and especially me knows what to do. I'm not afraid about this," stated Cancellara with confidence in both himself and his troops.
My post-Hillsboro funk subsided enough yesterday that I felt like getting on the bike last night.  With a couple race weekends this month, I figured it might be good to ride a little.  Kept it pretty simple.  Forty-five minutes with a few short efforts.  The weekend is looking great for a change.  Spring has been a tad unpleasant so far and a really nice weekend is overdue.
 
Not so nice is the weather forecast in Belgium for Flanders.  Highs around 40 with rain, hail and snow possible.  Wait, that almost sounds like the weather we have been having.  If the forecasts hold, it is shaping up as an epic struggle of the hard men. 
 
With the race just two days away I suppose it is time to make my picks.  To keep from making the easy picks like Boonen, Hoste or Cancellara, my new rule this year is that the cannot have finished top 10 of the event in the last five years.  Before making my pick, these are a few interesting facts... to me at least. 
 
I haven't studied other races in depth but at Flanders, and I would guess Roubaix, there appears to be a larger than normal frequency of repeated high finishes.
- In the last five years, only 30 cyclists have comprised the 50 top ten placings
- Only 15 riders appeared in the top 10 just once in the past five years.
- Since 2003, four riders have placed in the top ten three times and, surprisingly, Boonen is not one of them.  Ballan, Hincapie, Hoste, Klier have been top 10 three times.
 
Last year's winner, Allesandro Ballan, had a nice steady progression the last three years.  Sixth in '05, fifth in '06 and last first last year.  If a rider this year is to follow a similar progression, the two candidates would be Hincapie who placed seventh in '05, third in '06 but missed last year because of injury.  The second choice would be Karsten Kroon, who finished eighth in '06 and fourth in '07.  All that said, I cannot pick those guys.  Of the people I can pick, the clear choices based on results this year would be either Gilbert or Chavanel.  Of the two, I will take Gilbert.  Another strong choice would be Devolder.


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